A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing and intense solar insolation in the final hours, though prevailing humidity and wind patterns make 35°C or higher improbable. NEA's historical daily records, expected soon, will confirm resolution.
Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing for brief solar heating to 19°C, though prevailing showers and north-northeasterly winds make exceedance improbable; final evening observations will seal the outcome.
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—the market's authoritative resolution source—record a daytime high of precisely 21°C on , amid persistent cloud cover and light rain showers that sharply curtailed solar insolation and convective heating.
This sharp cooldown follows yesterday's heatwave record of 27.3°C, driven by an incoming frontal system introducing cooler air masses and reduced solar insolation. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS align on subdued daytime heating, aligning with April climatological averages around 17°C.
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This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport ...
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 27°C (100%) as Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 1, driven by China Meteorological Administration observational data and forecast models showing a daytime peak of 27°C under persistent cloudy skies that capped solar insolation.
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